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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Trade Policy
  3. Which tariffs will the House vote to eliminate before July?
Which tariffs will the House vote to eliminate before July?

Which tariffs will the House vote to eliminate before July?

One-OffTrade PolicyPoliticsElection19d
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Global
Global 2%
Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality

24 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$175.3

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

1.1% / 2.5%

Spread

127.3%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

Feb 12, 26, 3:00 PMJul 1, 26, 4:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Global2%

Rules

If legislation that terminates or otherwise limits global tariffs imposed by the President of the United States has passed the House after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
  • For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
  • Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No.
  • Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
  • Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage.

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Rules

If legislation that terminates or otherwise limits global tariffs imposed by the President of the United States has passed the House after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
  • For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
  • Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No.
  • Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
  • Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage.