KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityAbove 0.6% 17%+6.0%Leader of 15 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$200
Liquidity
$1.4K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
11.0% / 16.0%
Spread
45.5%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 18 minutes ago
May 22, 26, 12:12 PMJul 30, 26, 7:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Above 0.6%17%
Compare venues· Above -0.4%
Ordered by 24h volume| Venue | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageMost active | 99% | — | $200 | $1.4K | 18 minutes ago | |
 Polymarket | 45% | — | $159.2 | $6.5K | 7 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026?
8.5%21d
-3.0%45%
+8.5%31%
-1.0%15%
+3 more outcomes
60 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$13.3K
24h Vol$159.2
POLYMARKETRules
If Germany GDP growth rate YoY flash for Q2 2026 is above
- , then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$200Jul 24d of dataJul 8
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Rules
If Germany GDP growth rate YoY flash for Q2 2026 is above
- , then the market resolves to Yes.