PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability≤0.0% 54%+6.5%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$105.6
Low liquidityBid / Ask
17.0% / 91.0%
Spread
435.3%
Wide spread7d Change
-4.5%
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
May 4, 26, 3:52 PMJul 30, 26, 6:00 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
≤0.0%54%
Macro-Sensitive Assets
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This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q2 of 2026, expected to be released on July 30, 2026.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
- The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.