KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 5, 2026, 7:51 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
XRP 75.8%Leader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
XRP 75.8%Market quality
19 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$198
Open interest
$233.9
Low open interestSpread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleNov 5, 26, 7:45 AM UTCNov 5, 26, 8:00 AM UTC
XRP75.8%
SOL10%
HYPE9.2%
BTC5%
ETH0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
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KalshiWhat price will ETH/BTC hit November 2-8?
PolymarketBy 2030 will the most-used cryptocurrency have none of the highly criticised flaws of those popular in 2024?
Manifold MarketsWill any cryptocurrency (other than Bitcoin) surpass the market cap of Ethereum in 2026?
FutuurWhich of bitcoin and Ethereum have the worst 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:CF Benchmarks
- The return for each cryptocurrency in the specified set is calculated independently over the given time period using the formula: Return = (Ending Price − Starting Price) / Starting Price × 100. The Starting Price and Ending Price are defined as the time-weighted average of the Spot Rate values published by CFBenchmarks during the 60-second intervals immediately preceding the start and end of the time period, respectively. Final returns are calculated on an identical basis for every cryptocurrency in the set and rounded to three decimal places (as a percentage). If two or more cryptocurrencies report an identical return (rounded to three decimal places) such that they are tied for the highest position, each tied cryptocurrency's Contract will resolve to "Yes" with a value equal to $1 divided by the number of cryptocurrencies tied for the highest position, rounded down to the nearest cent, and each remaining (non-tied) cryptocurrency's Contract will resolve to "No."
Rules for each outcome
- XRP
- If Ripple has the highest return out of BTC (Bitcoin), ETH (Ethereum), SOL (Solana), XRP (Ripple), and HYPE (Hyperliquid) from Nov 5 - 2:45AM EST to 3:00AM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
- SOL
- If Solana has the highest return out of BTC (Bitcoin), ETH (Ethereum), SOL (Solana), XRP (Ripple), and HYPE (Hyperliquid) from Nov 5 - 2:45AM EST to 3:00AM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
- HYPE
- If Hyperliquid has the highest return out of BTC (Bitcoin), ETH (Ethereum), SOL (Solana), XRP (Ripple), and HYPE (Hyperliquid) from Nov 5 - 2:45AM EST to 3:00AM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
- BTC
- If Bitcoin has the highest return out of BTC (Bitcoin), ETH (Ethereum), SOL (Solana), XRP (Ripple), and HYPE (Hyperliquid) from Nov 5 - 2:45AM EST to 3:00AM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ETH
- If Ethereum has the highest return out of BTC (Bitcoin), ETH (Ethereum), SOL (Solana), XRP (Ripple), and HYPE (Hyperliquid) from Nov 5 - 2:45AM EST to 3:00AM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.