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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. When will Erica Schwartz be confirmed as CDC director?
When will Erica Schwartz be confirmed as CDC director?

When will Erica Schwartz be confirmed as CDC director?

2.0% (24h)PoliticsHealth & MedicineOne-OffElection6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027 74%+2.0%
Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$3

Liquidity

$27.9

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

75.0% / 80.0%

Spread

6.7%

Moderate spread
Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Apr 17, 26, 12:00 AMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Before Jan 1, 202774%

Rules

Senate confirms Erica Schwartz to the position of CDC director before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A confirmation is defined as a successful Senate confirmation vote where the nominee receives the constitutionally required majority.
  • This includes confirmation by recorded roll call vote, voice vote, or unanimous consent.
  • Nomination without Senate action, committee approval alone, recess appointments, acting appointments, withdrawn nominations, failed votes, and procedural votes that do not result in final confirmation do not satisfy the Payout Criterion.
  • Confirmation to a different position than the one specified does not count.
  • Senate confirms Erica Schwartz to the position of CDC director before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Rules

Senate confirms Erica Schwartz to the position of CDC director before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A confirmation is defined as a successful Senate confirmation vote where the nominee receives the constitutionally required majority.
  • This includes confirmation by recorded roll call vote, voice vote, or unanimous consent.
  • Nomination without Senate action, committee approval alone, recess appointments, acting appointments, withdrawn nominations, failed votes, and procedural votes that do not result in final confirmation do not satisfy the Payout Criterion.
  • Confirmation to a different position than the one specified does not count.
  • Senate confirms Erica Schwartz to the position of CDC director before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.