Will the USD Settlement Price for the Current Auction of the November 18, 2026 CARB Joint Auction #49 settle at or above the official November 18, 2026 ICE settlement price for the November 2026 California Carbon Allowance Vintage 2026 Future?
MonthlyCommodities15dCARB ≥ ICE
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored priceNo 79.5%
Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$364.3
Open interest
$328.3
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Oct 30, 26, 5:00 PM UTCNov 18, 26, 9:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- No
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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ForecastExRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:ICE California Carbon Allowance Vintage 2026 FutureCalifornia Air Resources Board (CARB)
- CARB Leg: Use the uniform-price allowance price, expressed in USD/tCO2e, resulting from the sale of allowances in the Current Auction component. This figure strictly excludes the Advance Auction Settlement Price, any Allowance Price Containment Reserve sale price, and any secondary-market pricing. If the Current Auction is undersubscribed and clears at the Auction Reserve Price, that reserve price serves as the Settlement Price. ICE Leg: Use the official ICE settlement for the November 2026 California Carbon Allowance Vintage 2026 Future for trade date November 18, 2026; if none is published for that trade date, use the most recent prior official ICE settlement. Resolution: Compare both values exactly as published, to the cent, without rounding. The market resolves Yes if the CARB Current Auction Settlement Price is greater than or equal to the ICE settlement price, and No if it is strictly less. In the event that Joint Auction #49 is canceled, postponed, or CARB fails to publish the Summary Results Report by January 1, 2027 at 2:59 AM EST, the market resolves to No.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
