KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Hike 1-25bps (30%)
Resolved: Sep 30, 2026, 7:29 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Hike 1-25bps
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 30, 2026, 7:21 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Maintain current rate63%
Hike 1-25bps30%
Cut more than 25bps1%
Cut 1-25bps1%
Hike more than 25bps18%
Maintain current rateLost
Hike 1-25bpsWon
Hike more than 25bpsLost
Cut more than 25bpsLost
Cut 1-25bpsLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the Banco de la República takes the action of the named outcome at its September Policy Rate Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "the named outcome" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.