Current implied probability
Above 49 77%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
71 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$119.3
Liquidity
$4.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
78.0% / 80.0%
Spread
2.6%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jun 4, 26, 4:00 AMJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Above 4977%
Compare venues· Above 49
Ordered by 24h volume| Venue | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiThis pageMost active | 77% | — | $119.3 | $4.4K | 4 minutes ago | |
 Polymarket | 47% | — | $0 | $50.2K | 6 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
How many senators will vote for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?
0.1%5mo
47%
47%
47%
+11 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$725
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKETRules
If the number of Senators voting Yea for the nomination of Todd Blanche to Attorney General after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 is above 49, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If no vote has occurred before Jan 1, 2027, then any market not including “zero” within its count (e.g. “Between 50 and 64”) resolves to No, and any market including “zero” (e.g. “Below 50”) resolves to Yes.
- If the vote count is not specified but the nominee is confirmed, any market including “100” (e.g. “Between 65 and 100”) will resolve to Yes, and any market not including “100” (e.g. “Below 65”) will resolve to No.
- Any vote cast by the Vice President on the nomination shall not be considered for purposes of this market.
- Once the market has expired, a request by any Senator to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Senate.gov or any other official source.
- If the number of Senators voting Yea for the nomination of Todd Blanche to Attorney General after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 is above 50, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$119Jul 33d of dataJul 8
Related Markets
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.2MGavin Newsom: 19%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Next French Presidential Election
$1.1MÉdouard Philippe: 27%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Clacton by-election Winner
$719.2KNigel Farage: 89%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
$252.2KVivek Ramaswamy: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026?
$242.1KTroy Jackson: 49%KALSHI
KALSHI
Clacton by-election winner?
$184.3KReform UK: 91%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Ripple, Coinbase among top donors in crypto’s $189 million election spending: reportThe Block
Democrats ramp up election-integrity push as Polymarket keeps Bardella at 25.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%Blockchain.News
Ripple-backed PACs fuel record $189M crypto election spendingCrypto News
Eizenkot kicks off election bid as Polymarket puts him at 40% to lead IsraelBlockchain.NewsRules
If the number of Senators voting Yea for the nomination of Todd Blanche to Attorney General after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 is above 49, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If no vote has occurred before Jan 1, 2027, then any market not including “zero” within its count (e.g. “Between 50 and 64”) resolves to No, and any market including “zero” (e.g. “Below 50”) resolves to Yes.
- If the vote count is not specified but the nominee is confirmed, any market including “100” (e.g. “Between 65 and 100”) will resolve to Yes, and any market not including “100” (e.g. “Below 65”) will resolve to No.
- Any vote cast by the Vice President on the nomination shall not be considered for purposes of this market.
- Once the market has expired, a request by any Senator to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Senate.gov or any other official source.
- If the number of Senators voting Yea for the nomination of Todd Blanche to Attorney General after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 is above 50, then the market resolves to Yes.