Current implied probability
Troy Jackson 48%-7.0%Leader of 13 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$236.7K
Liquidity
$228.4K
High liquidityBid / Ask
48.0% / 49.0%
Spread
2.1%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Jul 6, 26, 9:08 PMAug 1, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Troy Jackson48%
Volume trend
$236.7kJul 63d of dataJul 8
Related Markets
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
$690.1KGina Raimondo: 0%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Graham Platner drop out by...?
$423.1KNovember 2: 96%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
$303.9KVivek Ramaswamy: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
$187.3KJames Fishback: 5%KALSHI
KALSHI
2027 French Presidential Election: National Rally Candidate
$155.4KMarine Le Pen: 93%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
$30.6KAbdul El-Sayed: 82%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
Ripple, Coinbase among top donors in crypto’s $189 million election spending: reportThe Block
Democrats ramp up election-integrity push as Polymarket keeps Bardella at 25.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%Blockchain.News
Ripple-backed PACs fuel record $189M crypto election spendingCrypto News
Eizenkot kicks off election bid as Polymarket puts him at 40% to lead IsraelBlockchain.NewsRules
If No one is the Democratic nominee for U.S.
- Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Graham Platner withdraws or is replaced as the nominee by the Maine Democratic State Committee, the market will resolve to whichever individual is the Democratic nominee as of July 31, 2026.
- If Graham Platner withdraws and no replacement nominee has been selected as of July 31, 2026, the market will resolve to "No one." If Graham Platner remains the nominee as of July 31, 2026, the market will resolve to Graham Platner.
- For purposes of this market, the relevant question is who holds the Democratic nomination as of July 31, 2026, regardless of when that status was first established or reported.
- If Nirav Shah is the Democratic nominee for U.S.