KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
At least 14.00M bpd · —
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Stored price
At least 14.10M bpd 39%Market line of 4 lines
At least 14.10M bpd 39%Market quality
50 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$28.1
Open interest
$11.7K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
At least 14.00M bpdSpread
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Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Mar 11, 26, 2:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · At least 14.00M bpd
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Texas crude oil production in 2026
KalshiWill Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?
PolymarketWill US Oil Production exceed 14,500 thousand barrels per day for December 2026?
ForecastExWill US Oil Production exceed 14,700 thousand barrels per day for December 2026?
ForecastExWill US Oil Production exceed 15,100 thousand barrels per day for December 2026?
ForecastExWill US Oil Production exceed 14,900 thousand barrels per day for December 2026?
ForecastExRules
If the U.S. produces at least 14.10 million barrels of oil per day, between Issuance and before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. Energy Information AdministrationThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
- For the purposes of this market, 1,000 thousand barrels per day = 1.00M bpd.
Rules for each outcome
- At least 14.00M bpd
- If the U.S. produces at least 14.00 million barrels of oil per day, between Issuance and before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 14.10M bpd
- If the U.S. produces at least 14.10 million barrels of oil per day, between Issuance and before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 14.25M bpd
- If the U.S. produces at least 14.25 million barrels of oil per day, between Issuance and before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 14.40M bpd
- If the U.S. produces at least 14.40 million barrels of oil per day, between Issuance and before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.