KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 4.8% 99%+1.0ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$9.8K
Liquidity
$15.1K
Medium liquidityMarket data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Aug 17, 26, 11:00 PMAug 24, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Rules
If Qwen scores above 4.3% on OpenRouter Market Share by model author week of Aug 17, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:OpenRouter - AI Market Share
- This event will resolve based on 10:00AM ET Monday updated values for the week of Aug 17, 2026 .
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
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- If Qwen scores above 4.8% on OpenRouter Market Share by model author week of Aug 17, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Qwen scores above 5.3% on OpenRouter Market Share by model author week of Aug 17, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
AI
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-0.1pt92%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $852.1K
- 24h Vol
- $69.1K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,+1.5pt91%
- October 31,83%
- October 15,-4.5pt49%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-0.1pt97%
+10 more outcomes
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-5.0pt66%
- ChatGPT+3.9pt13%
- Grok-1.0pt10%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $9.2M
GEMINIBTC price on August 22
- $77,000 or above96%
- $76,250 or above95%
- $76,500 or above91%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $45.7K
- 24h Vol
- $45.7K
KALSHIOpenAI market share this week
- Above 17%+4.0pt99%
- Above 18%+16.0pt99%
- Above 16%+1.0pt99%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- GPT-6 released by which date?
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- BMW Championship Winner
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Best AI this week
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- XRP price on August 22
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Toronto vs New York Y
- XRP price on August 31
- Xiaomi market share this week
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Qwen market share this week?
- Kalshi prices Above 4.8% at 99% as of August 22, 2026.
- When does Qwen market share this week resolve?
- Qwen market share this week is scheduled to resolve on August 24, 2026.
- How is Qwen market share this week settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Qwen scores above 4.3% on OpenRouter Market Share by model author week of Aug 17, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.