KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 98%
Market quality
66 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5.8
Liquidity
$18.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Aug 12, 25, 4:15 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If Elon Musk is cast in Superman before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Hollywood ReporterThe New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by Disney.
- Any references to Disney, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between bravo and Disney.
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $398.4K
- 24h Vol
- $106K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $212.1K
- 24h Vol
- $105.5K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+7.0pt45%
- Jack Barton-5.0pt20%
- Callum Turner-5.0pt18%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+24.1pt46.2%
- No Bond chosen-1.5pt19.8%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $307.5K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-51.0pt16%
- Above 408%
- Above 50-57.0pt7%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $99.8K
- 24h Vol
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- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Next Superman film: Will Elon Musk be cast??
- Kalshi prices No at 98% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Next Superman film: Will Elon Musk be cast? resolve?
- Next Superman film: Will Elon Musk be cast? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Next Superman film: Will Elon Musk be cast? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Elon Musk is cast in Superman before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.