KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Oscar Isaac 48%Leader of 23 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$26.5K
High liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Dec 12, 25, 10:15 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will any scenes of The White Lotus season 4 be set at a Bilderberg Conference (or similar) event?
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PolymarketRules
If the named outcome is cast in The White Lotus: Season 4, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $398.4K
- 24h Vol
- $106K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $212.1K
- 24h Vol
- $105.5K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+7.0pt45%
- Jack Barton-5.0pt20%
- Callum Turner-5.0pt18%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+24.1pt46.2%
- No Bond chosen-1.5pt19.8%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $307.5K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-51.0pt16%
- Above 408%
- Above 50-57.0pt7%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $99.8K
- 24h Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for The White Lotus S4: Cast?
- Kalshi prices Oscar Isaac at 48% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does The White Lotus S4: Cast resolve?
- The White Lotus S4: Cast is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is The White Lotus S4: Cast settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome is cast in The White Lotus: Season 4, then the market resolves to Yes.