KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above 4.4000 (97%)
Resolved: Sep 21, 2026, 1:02 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Above 4.4000
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
80%
ConsensusData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 21, 2026, 12:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Above 4.44003%
Above 4.420060%
Above 4.46003%
Above 4.380095%
Above 4.480016%
Above 4.52003%
Above 4.400079%
Above 4.54003%
Above 4.56005%
Above 4.3000Lost
Above 4.3200Lost
Above 4.3400Lost
Above 4.3600Lost
Above 4.4000Won
Above 4.3800Lost
Above 4.4200Lost
Above 4.4800Lost
Above 4.4400Lost
Above 4.5600Lost
Above 4.5200Lost
Above 4.5400Lost
Above 4.4600Lost
Above 4.5000Lost
Above 4.5800Lost
Above 4.6000Lost
Above 4.6200Lost
Above 4.6400Lost
Above 4.6600Lost
Above 4.6800Lost
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PolymarketRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If average regular gas prices for New Jersey are strictly greater than $4.3000 on Sep 21, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:AAA
- If average regular gas prices for New Jersey are strictly greater than $4.3200 on Sep 21, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for New Jersey are strictly greater than $4.3400 on Sep 21, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for New Jersey are strictly greater than $4.3600 on Sep 21, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for New Jersey are strictly greater than $4.3800 on Sep 21, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for New Jersey are strictly greater than $4.4000 on Sep 21, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.