GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Kentucky 91.5%
Kentucky 91.5%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$40.4
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
91.0% / 92.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Sep 26, 26, 4:45 PM UTCSep 27, 26, 4:45 PM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
the named outcome vs Kentucky
- This market resolves to Yes if Kentucky wins the College Football game between Kentucky and the named outcome originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 12:45 PM.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event .
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/NCAA_FBS_Win-Loss_23ef351f-7ee0-4503-a740-5da5c95d4b2c.pdf).
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Kentucky is 92%. Quotes span about 1 percentage point between the widest venues. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Kentucky 92% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — South Alabama vs Kentucky · Kentucky 91%
- Also available on Polymarket — South Alabama vs. Kentucky · South Alabama vs. Kentucky: O/U 33.5 — Over 93%