Current implied probability
Josh Shapiro 93.6%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
94.0% / 95.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Jun 18, 26, 2:57 PMNov 10, 26, 12:00 AM
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Josh Shapiro95%
Compare venues· Josh Shapiro
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Kalshi
Pennsylvania Governor winner?
0.1 pts1y
93.1%
+0.1pt6.9%
78 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$82.6K
24h Vol$2.5K
KALSHI
Also available on Polymarket
Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner
3mo
94%
6%
0%
+10 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$19.5K
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKETRules
Who will win the 2026 gubernatorial election in Pennsylvania?
- If Josh Shapiro wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Pennsylvania, then this market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources.
- This event is mutually exclusive within the Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If Stacy Garrity wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Pennsylvania, then this market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$19.8k91.6%KALSHIStacy Garrity — No8d ago
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Who will win the 2026 gubernatorial election in Pennsylvania?
- If Josh Shapiro wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Pennsylvania, then this market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources.
- This event is mutually exclusive within the Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If Stacy Garrity wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Pennsylvania, then this market resolves to Yes.