Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.4% in August 2026?
2.0 pts (24h)InflationOne-Off2dForecastExLimited verified dataCurrent implied probabilityNo 74%
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.5K
Liquidity
$2.2K
Low liquidityMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.2% in August 2026?
ForecastExWill the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.1% in August 2026?
ForecastExWill the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.4% in September 2026?
ForecastExWill the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.2% in September 2026?
ForecastExWill the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.8% in August 2026?
ForecastExWill the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.6% in August 2026?
ForecastExRules
US Core CPI August 2026.
- Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.4% in August 2026? Price reflects the latest available ForecastEx exchange evidence.
Open markets
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt52%
- No change-3.0pt46.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.2pt1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $103.9M
- 24h Vol
- $2.6M
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $376.1K
- 24h Vol
- $29.3K
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $607.7K
- 24h Vol
- $25.6K
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt54.3%
- September Meeting+3.0pt45.7%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETArgentina Monthly Inflation - August
- 1.5-1.7%-10.3pt68.8%
- 1.8-2.0%+7.7pt26%
- 1.2-1.4%-3.3pt3.1%
+5 more outcomes
POLYMARKETAugust Inflation US - Annual
- 3.4%+0.5pt42.1%
- 3.3%-2.0pt29.9%
- 3.5%-0.5pt13.1%
+9 more outcomes
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Core PCE YoY - August 2026
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.2% in August 2026?
- Egg prices up in August?
- U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
- Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.1% in August 2026?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.4% in August 2026??
- ForecastEx prices No at 74% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.4% in August 2026? resolve?
- Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.4% in August 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 11, 2026.
- How is Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.4% in August 2026? settled?
- ForecastEx settles this market as follows: US Core CPI August 2026.