Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30?
Geopolitik
PolymarketGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: No
Entschieden: 01.07.2023, 06:03
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 100%
Marktqualitat
15 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
—
Liquidität unbekanntMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 123 Tagen
Veraltet18. Feb. 23, 14:2730. Juni 23, 0:00
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Regeln
A prediction market on whether Russia will use nuclear weapons has been requested many times recently by esteemed academics and thought leaders from across the world, and it is strongly within the public's interest to have accurate price discovery and realtime forecasts on such a topic.
- Existing prediction markets on this subject lack functional price discovery mechanisms, and thus are misleading the people; therefore it was deemed necessary to support this market as a public good, in order to provide clarity to society on one of the most pressing issues.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Russian Federation detonates a nuclear device in an offensive capacity by June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- To satisfy a "Yes" resolution, the detonation of a nuclear device must be in an offensive capacity (whether deliberate or accidental), must not be a test, and must be either claimed by the Russian Federation or considered by a preponderance of credible reporting and/or information from credible sources to be from the Russian Federation.
- For the purpose of this market's resolution, determination as to whether a detonation was nuclear will be made by a preponderance of credible reporting.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30??
- Polymarket bewertet No mit 100% (Stand: 25. April 2026).
- Wann wird Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30? entschieden?
- Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30? soll am 30. Juni 2023 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: A prediction market on whether Russia will use nuclear weapons has been requested many times recently by esteemed academics and thought leaders from across the world, and it is strongly within the public's interest to have accurate price discovery and realtime forecasts on such a topic.