PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 01.09.2026, 20:40 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
September 30 4%-0.3ptFührend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
36 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
12,9 €
Liquidität
1887,8 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
1.4 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
1
7d-Änderung
-0.1 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet29. Jan. 26, 3:351. Okt. 26, 3:59
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Havrylivka, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, (48.072788° N, 36.523524° E) between market creation and the named outcome, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of Havrylivka is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Russia enter Havrylivka by which date??
- Polymarket bewertet September 30 mit 4% (Stand: 1. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Russia enter Havrylivka by which date? entschieden?
- Will Russia enter Havrylivka by which date? soll am 1. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Russia enter Havrylivka by which date? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Havrylivka, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, (48.072788° N, 36.523524° E) between market creation and the named outcome, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.