PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31 5%Führend unter 7 Optionen
December 31 5%Marktqualitat
38 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
9197,3 €
Liquidität
1444,5 €
Niedrige LiquiditätKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-1.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
29. Jan. 26, 03:43 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
May 31Verloren
June 30Verloren
September 30Verloren
Vor Schließung: 0% ·
February 28Verloren
March 31Verloren
April 30Verloren
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 0,1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Nein
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia capture Dovha Balka by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia capture Dobropillia by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia capture Lyman by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia capture Kramatorsk at least once before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia capture Lyman in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.072806° N, 36.523854° E in Havrylivka between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading under the following layers will qualify: - Assessed Russian-Controlled Terrain - Assessed Russian Advances