PolymarketGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: October 31
Entschieden: 08.10.2026, 06:34
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Gewinnausgang
October 31
7 Tage vorher
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24 Stunden vorher
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Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 09.10.2026, 02:36 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
October 31100%
October 31Gewonnen
August 31Verloren
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia capture Bilytske by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia capture Stavky by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia capture all of Ternuvate by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia capture Kramatorsk at least once before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia capture Lyman in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.386699° N, 37.105096° E in Shevchenko, Donetsk Oblast, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading under the following layers will qualify: - Assessed Russian-Controlled Terrain - Assessed Russian Advances