PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätKeine aktiven Kurse
Daten vom 08.09.2026, 19:20 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
October 31 52%+1.5pt
Marktqualitat
30 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
4258,5 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
- / 0.1%
Kommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-19.4 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
6. Aug. 26, 00:16 UTC1. Nov. 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by which date?
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Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine capture more territory than it loses to Russia in September 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.386699° N, 37.105096° E in Shevchenko, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
- The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
Offene Märkte
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Russia capture Shevchenko by which date??
- Polymarket bewertet October 31 mit 52% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Russia capture Shevchenko by which date? entschieden?
- Will Russia capture Shevchenko by which date? soll am 1. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Russia capture Shevchenko by which date? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.386699° N, 37.105096° E in Shevchenko, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.