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Daten vom 01.09.2026, 18:30 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31 11%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat
12 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
1820 €
Niedrige LiquiditätKommentare
6
7d-Änderung
-0.1 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet31. Jan. 26, 0:211. Jan. 27, 4:59
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Ternuvate, Zaporizhzhya Oblast, (47.8301° N, 36.1268° E) by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Ternuvate will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by which date??
- Polymarket bewertet December 31 mit 11% (Stand: 1. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by which date? entschieden?
- Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by which date? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by which date? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Ternuvate, Zaporizhzhya Oblast, (47.8301° N, 36.1268° E) by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.