Will Israel invade Lebanon by January 20?
Geopolitik
PolymarketGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: No
Entschieden: 21.01.2024, 07:16
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 100%
Marktqualitat
15 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
—
Liquidität unbekanntMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 122 Tagen
Veraltet9. Jan. 24, 20:3520. Jan. 24, 0:00
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Regeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon by January 20, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by Lebanon, Israel, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+7.2pt78%
- October 31+18.5pt65%
- September 30+13.0pt42%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 17,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1 Mio. €
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22100%
- August 25+0.8pt100%
- August 31+4.0pt96%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No-6.0pt60.4%
- Yes+6.0pt39.6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 8,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 285.540,4 €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 51,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 230.614,2 €
POLYMARKETNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- March 31, 2027+0.5pt68%
- December+2.0pt53%
- September 30,+3.5pt25%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)72%
- New People (NL)-0.2pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.3pt5%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Israel invade Lebanon by January 20??
- Polymarket bewertet No mit 100% (Stand: 25. April 2026).
- Wann wird Will Israel invade Lebanon by January 20? entschieden?
- Will Israel invade Lebanon by January 20? soll am 20. Januar 2024 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Israel invade Lebanon by January 20? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon by January 20, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.