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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Geopolitik
  3. Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

0.1% (24h)One-OffGeopolitik6Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 14%
Marktqualitat

80 / 100

Hohe Qualität
24h-Volumen

1005,7 €

Liquidität

66.472,5 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

13.8% / 14.4%

Spread

4.3%

Mittlerer Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten

30. Jan. 26, 23:3231. Dez. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes14%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
  • The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
  • The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.