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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

0.5% (24h)One-OffPolitikGeopolitikMiddle East6Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 8%
Marktqualitat

61 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

16.828,9 €

Liquidität

15.756,3 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

7.0% / 8.0%

Spread

14.3%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

-0.5%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten

1. Mai 26, 22:1731. Dez. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes8%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
  • A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
  • The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified.
  • A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
  • A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
  • The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified.
  • A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.