PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 94%
Marktqualitat
66 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
43,1 €
Liquidität
8509,2 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
6.1% / 6.2%
Spread
0.1 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
3
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Minuten
1. Mai 26, 22:15 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
LLM Psychosis Community declares war on the math establishment before 2027?
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KalshiRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
- A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
- The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified.
- A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31??
- Polymarket bewertet No mit 94% (Stand: 12. September 2026).
- Wann wird KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? entschieden?
- KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.