KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
0.1 Pkt. (24h)One-OffPolitikGeopolitikMiddle East5Mon
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitNein 93%
Marktqualitat
72 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
3578,1 €
Liquidität
2809,8 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
7.2% / 7.3%
Spread
0.1 pt
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
+3.9 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Minuten
1. Mai 26, 22:1531. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes7%
Volumentrend
$4.1k3. Juli24T Daten28. Juli
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
- A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
- The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified.
- A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.