KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 95%
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
20.518,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
3.0% / 4.9%
Spread
1.9 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
6. Jan. 26, 22:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
PolymarketKRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
PolymarketWill Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence?
KalshiWill Kaliningrad achieve independence from Russia by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsAlberta votes YES in independence referendum by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Greenland hold an independence referendum in 2026?
PredictItRegeln
If Greenland has held an independence referendum after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 whose outcome is a majority of voters vote for independence, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A referendum to join another country will also be considered as an independence referendum for this purpose.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
2 Handelsplätze bepreisen diesen Markt derzeit. Die liquiditätsgewichtete Referenzwahrscheinlichkeit von CoinRithm für CoinRithm-Referenz liegt bei 5%. Die Kurse liegen rund 1 Prozentpunkt auseinander.
CoinRithm-Referenz 5% · 2 Plattformen · 1 Pkt. Venue-Spanne
Offene Märkte
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 95% (Stand: 12. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? entschieden?
- Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Greenland has held an independence referendum after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 whose outcome is a majority of voters vote for independence, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Polymarket gelistet.