KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitNein 95%
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
20.946,2 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
2.9% / 4.9%
Spread
2.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 28 Minuten
6. Jan. 26, 22:001. Jan. 27, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes5%
Plattformen vergleichen· No
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt87% Übereinstimmung · auto | Mittel | 95% | +90pt | 5 € | 15.308,2 € | vor 8 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| KalshiDiese Seite | Niedrig | 95% | +90pt | 0 € | 20.946,2 € | vor 28 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
5Mon
95%
5%
67 • Mittlere QualitätEnger SpreadMittlere LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen41.666,5 €
24h-Volumen5 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If Greenland has held an independence referendum after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 whose outcome is a majority of voters vote for independence, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A referendum to join another country will also be considered as an independence referendum for this purpose.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
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If Greenland has held an independence referendum after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 whose outcome is a majority of voters vote for independence, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A referendum to join another country will also be considered as an independence referendum for this purpose.