PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 5%
Marktqualitat
71 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
2 €
Liquidität
13.309,1 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
5.1% / 5.2%
Spread
2.0%
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
-0.1%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
12. Jan. 26, 22:5831. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes5%
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
6Mon
4%
96%
24 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen477,1 €
24h-Volumen0 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.