Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
0.1 pts (24h)One-OffPolitikGeopolitikEuropeUS Politics5Mon
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitNein 95%
Marktqualitat
66 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
4,2 €
Liquidität
12.355,3 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
5.2% / 5.6%
Spread
0.4 pt
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
+0.3 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
12. Jan. 26, 22:5731. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes5%
Plattformen vergleichen· No
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Mittel | 95% | +90pt | 4,2 € | 12.355,3 € | vor 7 Minuten | |
 Kalshi87% Übereinstimmung · auto | Niedrig | 95% | +90pt | 0 € | 20.909 € | vor 27 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
5Mon
95%
5%
49 • Niedrige QualitätMittlerer SpreadMittlere LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen49.556,5 €
24h-Volumen0 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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$53. Juli22T Daten27. Juli
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.