Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 99%
Prognostiker
45
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 44 Minuten
17. Mai 25, 20:46 UTC31. Dez. 26, 11:11 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will there be verified U.S. federal government actions intended to influence an Alberta independence referendum?
Manifold MarketsWill the Greenlandic Parliament pass a resolution by November 15 to schedule a national independence referendum?
Manifold MarketsScottish independence referendum called?
KalshiWill Greenland hold an independence referendum in 2026?
PredictItWill there be a Scottish independence referendum before 2027 if the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill doesn't receive Royal Assent?
Manifold MarketsWill Wales announce an independence referendum?
KalshiRegeln
This market will resolve to YES if, by December 31, 2026, the Canadian province of Alberta holds a referendum in which a majority of voters cast ballots in favour of Alberta's independence from Canada.
- If no such referendum occurs by the specified date, or if a province-wide referendum with at least 33% voter turnout is held prior to the date and declared defeated, the market will resolve to NO.
- The referendum does not have to be legally binding or ultimately result in succession.
- Many similar independence referendums around the world have had questionable legal binding basis.
