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Daten vom 31.10.2026, 02:16 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Mittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Before Jan 1, 2028 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Before Jan 1, 2028 54%
Before Jan 1, 2028 54%Marktqualitat
40 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
44,8 €
Open Interest
8503,8 $
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2028Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 58 Minuten
Verzogert27. Jan. 26, 15:00 UTC1. Jan. 28, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Before Jan 1, 2028
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Papua New Guinea hold its 2027 national election on schedule?
Manifold MarketsWill Bougainville Island achieve independence from Papua New Guinea before 2029?
Manifold MarketsKenya vs Papua New Guinea
KalshiICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Kenya vs Papua New Guinea
PolymarketICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Kenya vs Papua New Guinea - More Markets
PolymarketICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Kenya vs Papua New Guinea - Team Top Batter
PolymarketRegeln
If Papua New Guinea has agreed to or announced the ratification of Bougainville's independence before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:the Associated PressReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsBBC NewsFinancial TimesThe GuardianPoliticoCNNFox NewsABC NewsCBS NewsNBC NewsAl Jazeera EnglishDeutsche WelleFrance 24 EnglishNHK World-JapanChannel NewsAsiaThe South China Morning PostThe Times of IndiaThe Globe and MailABC News Australia
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves formal signing of treaties, parliamentary approval with binding effect, official ratification, formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority, official statements by authorized ministers, official press releases, formal declarations during government proceedings, or official statements to international bodies. Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory qualify. Preliminary discussions, conditional agreements contingent on circumstances, opposition party statements, leaked documents, think-tank recommendations, general aspirations without specific commitment, draft legislation without approval, and regional actions (unless specified) do NOT qualify. Retraction of previously announced commitments also does not satisfy the criterion.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Papua New Guinea has agreed to or announced the ratification of Bougainville's independence before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Papua New Guinea has agreed to or announced the ratification of Bougainville's independence before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.