KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Jan 1, 2028 54%
Marktqualitat
46 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
7529,7 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
11.0% / 16.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
27. Jan. 26, 15:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRegeln
If Papua New Guinea has agreed to or announced the ratification of Bougainville's independence the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:the Associated PressReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsBBC NewsFinancial TimesThe GuardianPoliticoCNNFox NewsABC NewsCBS NewsNBC NewsAl Jazeera EnglishDeutsche WelleFrance 24 EnglishNHK World-JapanChannel NewsAsiaThe South China Morning PostThe Times of IndiaThe Globe and Mail
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves formal signing of treaties, parliamentary approval with binding effect, official ratification, formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority, official statements by authorized ministers, official press releases, formal declarations during government proceedings, or official statements to international bodies.
- Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory qualify.
- Preliminary discussions, conditional agreements contingent on circumstances, opposition party statements, leaked documents, think-tank recommendations, general aspirations without specific commitment, draft legislation without approval, and regional actions (unless specified) do NOT qualify.
- Retraction of previously announced commitments also does not satisfy the criterion.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence??
- Kalshi bewertet Before Jan 1, 2028 mit 54% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence? entschieden?
- Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Papua New Guinea has agreed to or announced the ratification of Bougainville's independence the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.