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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Geopolitik
  3. U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?

0.3% (24h)One-OffGeopolitikMiddle East18T
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 5%
Marktqualitat

61 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

15.677,4 €

Liquidität

14.551,2 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

4.8% / 5.3%

Spread

10.4%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

+1.1%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten

26. Mai 26, 17:1330. Juni 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes5%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S.

Polymarket
  • Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
  • Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
  • The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S.

Polymarket
  • Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
  • Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
  • The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.