PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 49%+0.1%
Marktqualitat
28 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
93,8 €
Liquidität
1111,8 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
46.0% / 52.0%
Spread
13.0%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
+11.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
23. Apr. 26, 22:3231. März 27, 0:00
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes49%
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
US recession by end of 2026?
2664,6 €Ja: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
792,6 €5.0%: 17%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?
259,9 €Ja: 27.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSJune Unemployment Rate
134,5 €4.3%: 38%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US real GDP growth in 2030?
134,1 €2.6% to 3.0%: 11%
KALSHI
KALSHIWill Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026?
80,4 €Ja: 47.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Regeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Kingdom’s seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter percent change in real GDP, as reported by the Office for National Statistics, is less than 0.0 for two consecutive quarters between Q1 and Q4 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market includes estimates reported in both the Office for National Statistics’ GDP first quarterly estimate, UK releases and the updated GDP quarterly national accounts, UK releases for the relevant quarters.
- Monthly GDP estimates will not be considered.
- This market’s resolution will be based on the most recently available qualifying estimates for the relevant quarters at the time of each relevant release.
- Any two consecutive quarters with qualifying negative GDP growth will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of prior or later revisions.