PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 90%-4.0pt
Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
933,8 €
Liquidität
1656,9 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
9.0% / 11.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
3
7d-Änderung
+2.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
23. Apr. 26, 22:25 UTC31. März 27, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Kingdom’s seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter percent change in real GDP, as reported by the Office for National Statistics, is less than 0.0 for two consecutive quarters between Q1 and Q4 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market includes estimates reported in both the Office for National Statistics’ GDP first quarterly estimate, UK releases and the updated GDP quarterly national accounts, UK releases for the relevant quarters.
- Monthly GDP estimates will not be considered.
- This market’s resolution will be based on the most recently available qualifying estimates for the relevant quarters at the time of each relevant release.
- Any two consecutive quarters with qualifying negative GDP growth will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of prior or later revisions.
Offene Märkte
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+5.0pt83.2%
- No change-5.0pt15.8%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 131,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 7,6 Mio. €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No94%
- Yes+2.0pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 19.722,2 €
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%+11.0pt99%
- Above 3.3%+2.0pt98%
- Above 3.0%+1.0pt98%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.2%+8.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+3.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%+1.0pt99%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 87.245,2 €
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 655.266,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 4703,5 €
KALSHI2026: Trump's dream year?
- No95%
- Yes5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 499.341,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 3550,5 €
- Recession in 2027?
- US recession by end of 2026?
- Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- Recession this year?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
- Unemployment in September
- How many jobs added in September?
- US GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für UK Recession in 2026??
- Polymarket bewertet No mit 90% (Stand: 14. September 2026).
- Wann wird UK Recession in 2026? entschieden?
- UK Recession in 2026? soll am 31. März 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird UK Recession in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Kingdom’s seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter percent change in real GDP, as reported by the Office for National Statistics, is less than 0.0 for two consecutive quarters between Q1 and Q4 2026.