PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitNein 86.1%+0.0pt
Marktqualitat
51 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
462,6 €
Liquidität
299,1 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
11.0% / 16.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Mittlerer Spread7d-Änderung
-2.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 22 Minuten
23. Apr. 26, 22:2531. März 27, 0:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes14%
Volumentrend
$5274. Juli19T Daten29. Juli
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
US real GDP growth in 2033?
63.184,5 €2.1% to 2.5%: 11%
KALSHI
KALSHIUS real GDP growth in 2036?
47.040,2 €5.1% to 5.5%: 3%KALSHI
KALSHIUS real GDP growth in 2032?
32.838,6 €5.6% to 6.0%: 4%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the world economy grow by more than 30% in a single year before 2027?
439 €Ja: 2.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS[Metaculus] Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?
395,1 €Ja: 16.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.4% in August 2026?
384,6 €Ja: 11%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Regeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Kingdom’s seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter percent change in real GDP, as reported by the Office for National Statistics, is less than 0.0 for two consecutive quarters between Q1 and Q4 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market includes estimates reported in both the Office for National Statistics’ GDP first quarterly estimate, UK releases and the updated GDP quarterly national accounts, UK releases for the relevant quarters.
- Monthly GDP estimates will not be considered.
- This market’s resolution will be based on the most recently available qualifying estimates for the relevant quarters at the time of each relevant release.
- Any two consecutive quarters with qualifying negative GDP growth will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of prior or later revisions.