PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
September 23 98%-0.3ptFührend unter 13 Optionen
Marktqualitat
47 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
15.371,2 €
Liquidität
11.250,2 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
22.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
3
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
17. Sept. 26, 17:58 UTC30. Sept. 26, 19:59 UTC
Trends
Gewonnen
Vor Schließung: 100% ·
Verloren
Vor Schließung: 0% ·
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 0,1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Nein
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Iran and Oman announce a permanent Hormuz shipping scheme by October 31?
Manifold MarketsFree flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a kinetic strike is conducted on, or forceful seizure of control is taken of, a commercial ship within the defined area on the specified date, between 12:00 AM and 11:59 PM GST (UTC+04:00).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The defined area consists of the Persian Gulf, the Strait of Hormuz, and the Gulf of Oman.
- An incident occurring outside these three bodies of water will not qualify, including in the Arabian Sea, the Gulf of Aden, or the Red Sea.
- No attribution is required.
- A qualifying incident will count regardless of the identity of the party responsible, regardless of whether any state or group claims responsibility, and regardless of whether responsibility is denied, disputed, or never established.