PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
September 30 13%+0.5pt
Marktqualitat
70 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
10.544,8 €
Liquidität
40.010,4 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
12.0% / 14.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
10. Sept. 26, 20:07 UTC1. Okt. 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Caspian Sea by which date?
PolymarketHouthis successfully target shipping by which date?
PolymarketHouthis target Saudi Arabia by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia attempt to militarily seize the Suwałki Gap before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces seize control of an oil tanker or a commercial vessel transporting oil as cargo between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- "Houthi forces" refers to the military forces of the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf.
- Seize control refers to Houthi forces taking custody of or asserting operational control over a commercial ship, including boarding and taking control of the ship, holding or detaining it for an indefinite period, or forcefully rerouting it to a location selected or controlled by the perpetrators.
- Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
- Once a qualifying seizure has occured, any subsequent abandonment, release, rescue, recapture, or other loss of control will not affect the resolution of this market.
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-8.0pt24%
- October 31-5.5pt17%
- September 30-4.5pt8%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 11,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 355.385,5 €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No84.2%
- Yes15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 56,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 292.267,8 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+2.6pt66%
- October 31+4.5pt41%
- September 30+5.0pt24%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)79%
- New People (NL)-0.1pt17%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETIran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- October 31+15.0pt63%
- September 30+19.0pt49%
- September 21+21.5pt42%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+7.0pt92%
- September 18+10.5pt91%
- September 4+11.0pt87%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Houthis seize an oil tanker by which date??
- Polymarket bewertet September 30 mit 13% (Stand: 12. September 2026).
- Wann wird Houthis seize an oil tanker by which date? entschieden?
- Houthis seize an oil tanker by which date? soll am 1. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Houthis seize an oil tanker by which date? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces seize control of an oil tanker or a commercial vessel transporting oil as cargo between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.