PolymarketGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: October 31
Entschieden: 19.10.2026, 08:07
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Gewinnausgang
October 31
7 Tage vorher
—
24 Stunden vorher
78%
KonsensWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 19.10.2026, 08:05 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
October 31100%
October 31Gewonnen
October 15Verloren
September 30Verloren
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Is Alex going to resolve his market about Russia's drone attack on Poland fairly?
Manifold MarketsWill Plesetsk cosmodrome got hit with drone/missile by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a NATO aircraft shoot down a missile or drone fired towards a target in Ukraine before 2027?
Manifold MarketsUkraine damages Kremlin with drone or missile before Russia-Ukraine war ends?
Manifold MarketsNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia invade another country by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a NATO military downs another Russian drone by any means (kinetic, jammer, etc.) between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM Kyiv Time.
- A “Russian drone” refers to any drone that, based on a consensus of credible reporting, was launched from territory under Russia’s de facto control or was operated or directed by Russian forces.
- Where attribution remains ambiguous, the drone’s model and characteristics will be considered supporting evidence.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying incident will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources.
- Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant incident, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the incident based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (CEST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the incident.