PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 13%-1.5ptFührend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
57 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
7,2 €
Liquidität
11.373,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
69
7d-Änderung
-3.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
14. Okt. 25, 13:04 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will India settle their Kashmir conflict with Pakistan before January 1st 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Pakistan have a major civil war by the end of 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill islamist group(s) take over Pakistan before 2035?
Manifold MarketsModi out by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketYoon out of custody before 2027?
PolymarketLee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if India initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Pakistani territory by the named outcome, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Indian military forces that impact Pakistani territory (e.g., if an Indian missile or drone hits a target within Pakistan’s borders, this market will resolve to "Yes").
- Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching Pakistani territory, as well as surface-to-air missile strikes, will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether debris lands on Pakistani soil or causes damage.
- Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or any operation conducted by Indian ground forces will not qualify as a strike under this market.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für India strike on Pakistan by which date??
- Polymarket bewertet December mit 13% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird India strike on Pakistan by which date? entschieden?
- India strike on Pakistan by which date? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird India strike on Pakistan by which date? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if India initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Pakistani territory by the named outcome, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.