How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 14?
11.5 Pkt. (24h)Middle EastOne-Off5T
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
<170 46.4%+14.0ptFührend unter 5 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
72 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1338,4 €
Liquidität
18.138,2 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
11. Sept. 26, 21:49 UTC20. Sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?
Polymarket0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by which date?
PolymarketTraffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
KalshiTraffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/14 - 9/20)
KalshiHow many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 14?
PolymarketWill the 7-day moving average of ships passing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait ever fall below 15 in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait for all days from September 14, 2026, through September 20, 2026, inclusive.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published.
- If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
- In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections.