Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?
2.0 Pkt. (24h)Middle EastOne-Off22T
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
<25 47%-0.5ptFührend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat
77 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
665,4 €
Liquidität
49.576,3 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
0.1 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-18.2 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
26. Aug. 26, 22:15 UTC30. Sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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KalshiBab el-Mandeb Strait closed by which date?
FutuurWill the 7-day moving average of ships passing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait ever fall below 15 in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait that IMF Portwatch reports for September 30, 2026.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been published.
- If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
- In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections.