PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit>2.5% 43%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
40 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
6943,1 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
4.1% / 6.9%
Spread
68.3%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
-0.1%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
12. Nov. 25, 23:2229. Jan. 27, 0:00
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
>2.5%43%
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
US real GDP growth in 2026?
0.8%8Mon
-0.8%13%
26%
5%
+11 weitere Ergebnisse
28 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen2064,3 €
24h-Volumen1 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
- Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026.
- Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
US recession by end of 2026?
3186,9 €Ja: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
792,7 €5.0%: 17%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?
259,9 €Ja: 27.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSJune Unemployment Rate
134,6 €4.4%: 31%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETUS real GDP growth in 2030?
134,2 €2.6% to 3.0%: 11%KALSHI
KALSHI
Regeln
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
- Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026.
- Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.