Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
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Nein 85.3%Prognostiker
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet17. Jan. 24, 17:42 UTC1. März 30, 22:59 UTC
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Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will an accident involving miniaturized fusion reactors wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill we get fusion reactors before 2041?
Manifold MarketsWill we get fusion reactors before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before we get fusion reactors?
Manifold MarketsDid HIV come from a laboratory?
Manifold MarketsWill we discover alien life before 2032?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolves as YES if we have built a fusion reactor that has run continuously for at least 24 hours prior to January 1st 2030 at engineering breakeven (Q_E >= 1).
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d18e9fd38cd1
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a380452919f1
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-93a1ac777df5
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-f5a1947c172a
