Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
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75
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet17. Jan. 24, 10:00 UTC1. März 31, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will we get fusion reactors before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill we get fusion reactors before 2041?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before we get fusion reactors?
Manifold MarketsWhen will nuclear fusion be achieved?
KalshiFDA decision: Ivonescimab by Summit Therapeutics (in 2026)
KalshiWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves as YES if we have built a fusion reactor that has run continuously for at least 24 hours prior to January 1st 2031 at engineering breakeven (Q_E >= 1).
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d18e9fd38cd1
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a380452919f1
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-93a1ac777df5
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-f5a1947c172a
Offene Märkte
China
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 35,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 100.050,2 €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 11,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 38.741,3 €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+18.0pt56.1%
- 27°C-3.0pt19.6%
- 25°C-3.5pt15.9%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 356.323,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 13.462,8 €
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- October 31+1.6pt98%
- December 31+1.6pt97%
- September 3095%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 11.045,3 €
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will we get fusion reactors before 2031??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 77% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will we get fusion reactors before 2031? entschieden?
- Will we get fusion reactors before 2031? soll am 1. März 2031 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will we get fusion reactors before 2031? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves as YES if we have built a fusion reactor that has run continuously for at least 24 hours prior to January 1st 2031 at engineering breakeven (Q_E >= 1).