Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 71.4%
Prognostiker
29
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet1. März 24, 11:45 UTC1. März 41, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will we get fusion reactors before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill we get fusion reactors before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before we get fusion reactors?
Manifold MarketsWhen will nuclear fusion be achieved?
KalshiWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves as YES if we have built a fusion reactor that has run continuously for at least 24 hours prior to January 1st 2041 at engineering breakeven (Q_E >= 1).
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d18e9fd38cd1
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a380452919f1
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-93a1ac777df5
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-f5a1947c172a
Offene Märkte
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 15,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 18.288,2 €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 5178,9 €
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+6.0pt65%
- September+2.0pt41%
- June28%
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 916.002,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1515,1 €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-2.0pt57%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 863.640,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1039 €
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
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- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will we get fusion reactors before 2041??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 71% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will we get fusion reactors before 2041? entschieden?
- Will we get fusion reactors before 2041? soll am 1. März 2041 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will we get fusion reactors before 2041? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves as YES if we have built a fusion reactor that has run continuously for at least 24 hours prior to January 1st 2041 at engineering breakeven (Q_E >= 1).