Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 83.3%
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Fragetyp
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Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet8. Juli 25, 03:54 UTC31. Dez. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the AI bubble pop before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the AI bubble pop by X date?
Manifold MarketsIs Sora's shutdown the start of an AI bubble pop by 2028?
Manifold MarketsAI bubble burst by which date?
PolymarketWhen will the AI bubble pop?
Manifold MarketsWill the AI bubble burst by which date?
FutuurRegeln
This market closes 31 Dec 2027 and I’ll settle it during 2028 by giving my honest take.
- If, by then, I feel that 2023-2026 looked like a dot-com-style frenzy i.e., tech and especially AI stocks were clearly overvalued around their 2025 highs it resolves YES; otherwise NO.
- I’ll base my judgment on my own reading of market charts, news, and general vibes rather than any formal threshold.
- Think of it as “does 2025 now look bubbly to me?” that’s the whole criteria.
