Aktuelle Community-Prognose
By 12-31-2028 60%Führend unter 13 Optionen
Prognostiker
75
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+2.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Stunden
Veraltet26. Okt. 25, 11:38 UTC31. Dez. 27, 10:29 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Is Sora's shutdown the start of an AI bubble pop by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the AI bubble pop before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill we be called the AI bubble ? 2028
Manifold MarketsWhich bubble bursts first?
MyriadWhat will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit Week of September 7 2026?
PolymarketWhat will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in September 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Will the AI bubble pop by X date?
- For the purpose of resolving this market, I will define the AI bubble popping as a reduction in the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS) closing price of 35% or more within a period of 10 consecutive trading days.
- More formally, let pₜ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t, and let pₜ₊ₛ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t + s, such that 0 < s ≤ 10.
- A market will resolve to Yes if
- (pₜ - pₜ₊ₛ) / pₜ ≥ .35
- is satisfied by the stated date.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
Offene Märkte
ETFPOLYMARKETWhat will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- ↑ $192+28.4pt100%
- ↑ $191+22.9pt100%
- ↑ $190+15.9pt100%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 17.931,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 9993,4 €
POLYMARKETWhat will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $188+40.0pt100%
- ↑ $186+35.0pt100%
- ↑ $184+28.4pt100%
+32 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETAI bubble burst by which date?
- 2026+0.1pt11%
- March 31, 2026-0.1pt0%
- 2025+0.1pt0%
- Gesamtvolumen
LIMITLESSS&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes61%
- No39%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 23.428,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 43 €
MYRIADWhich bubble bursts first?
- Crypto78.3%
- AI21.7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9013,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 0,9 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 USD at any point before December 31, 2026?
- No90.5%
- Yes9.5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1439,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 13,9 €
- SPY 900 by Sep 18 2026?
- Will Bitcoin be higher 7 days from now?
- Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Daily
- Will the Global X MSCI Argentina ETF - ARGT closes above US$100 at the end of 2027?
- What will be the price of SPY ($) at the end of 2026 (0.1x)
- Will any tokenized basket or index investment product exceed $1 billion in AUM by the end of 2027?
- MCHI (iShares MSCI China ETF) will close above 59 on the latest trading day of 2026
- Will Matt Levine write about "a buy-and-hold prediction-markets exchange-traded fund" before 2026-11-07?
- EWY (EWY) Up or Down on September 9?
- Ethereum ETF Flows on September 10?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the AI bubble pop by X date??
- Manifold Markets bewertet By 12-31-2028 mit 60% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the AI bubble pop by X date? entschieden?
- Will the AI bubble pop by X date? soll am 31. Dezember 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the AI bubble pop by X date? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Will the AI bubble pop by X date?
- Wo wird Will the AI bubble pop by X date? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Polymarket gelistet.