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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. ETF
  3. Will the AI bubble pop by X date?
Manifold Markets

Will the AI bubble pop by X date?

ETFKI1J
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsKein KYC
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Manifold Markets
By 12-31-2025 0%
Führend unter 10 Optionen
Prognostiker

72

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 5 Tagen

Veraltet
26. Okt. 25, 11:3831. Dez. 27, 10:29

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

By 6-30-20263%

Regeln

Will the AI bubble pop by X date?

Manifold Markets
  • For the purpose of resolving this market, I will define the AI bubble popping as a reduction in the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS) closing price of 35% or more within a period of 10 consecutive trading days.
  • More formally, let pₜ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t, and let pₜ₊ₛ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t + s, such that 0 < s ≤ 10.
  • A market will resolve to Yes if
  • (pₜ - pₜ₊ₛ) / pₜ ≥ .35
  • is satisfied by the stated date.

Verwandte Märkte

What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in June 2026?

What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in June 2026?

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EWY (EWY) Up or Down on June 11?

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Energy Sector ETF (XLE) Up or Down - Weekly

Energy Sector ETF (XLE) Up or Down - Weekly

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Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Weekly

Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Weekly

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What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit Week of June 8 2026?

What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit Week of June 8 2026?

0 €
↑ $186: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,748.94+1.97%EthereumETH$1,654.07+1.26%SolanaSOL$65.07+1.17%DogecoinDOGE$0.0847+1.10%BNBBNB$596.08+1.54%XRPXRP$1.11+0.04%

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Regeln

Will the AI bubble pop by X date?

Manifold Markets
  • For the purpose of resolving this market, I will define the AI bubble popping as a reduction in the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS) closing price of 35% or more within a period of 10 consecutive trading days.
  • More formally, let pₜ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t, and let pₜ₊ₛ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t + s, such that 0 < s ≤ 10.
  • A market will resolve to Yes if
  • (pₜ - pₜ₊ₛ) / pₜ ≥ .35
  • is satisfied by the stated date.