Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 91.9%
Prognostiker
23
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet9. Dez. 25, 05:22 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
US unemployment rate at year-end 2026
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.7% in December 2026?
ForecastExWill US unemployment exceed 4.5% at any point in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US unemployment rate hit more than 6% in any month of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill US unemployment exceed 5% in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.2% in December 2026?
ForecastExRegeln
Will resolve based on official US Data.
- If that is not available will use whatever experts think is the next most reliable thing.
- Update 2025-12-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve YES if the unemployment rate crosses above 6% at any point during 2026 (not based on the average for the year).
