Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 95%
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Aktualisiert vor 16 Stunden
Veraltet17. Juli 26, 04:01 UTC31. Dez. 28, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Thinking Machines acquired by Apple before 2031?
Manifold MarketsThinking Machines Lab releases product before Safe Superintelligence?
Manifold MarketsWill Meta or Thinking Machines have a stronger model by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketRegeln
ARR, at any point before 2029.
- If either company is acquired / merged into some other larger company, we'll vibe-resolve with 2029 AI (it will be very smart)
Offene Märkte
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.6pt70.7%
- ChatGPT-2.8pt13.1%
- Grok+0.8pt7.1%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 50.344 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 15,-1.0pt89%
- December 31,-3.5pt88%
- November 30,-6.5pt85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$900B+10.4pt100%
- ↑$1.0T-4.5pt82%
- ↑$1.25T-4.5pt57%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude+1.0pt91.7%
- ChatGPT+1.0pt1.9%
- Gemini0.9%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 60.574,9 €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+2.0pt91.4%
- Grok+1.0pt1.9%
- Gemini1.9%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 425.514 €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-9.0pt89%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt84%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,5 Mio. €
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- OpenAI IPO by which date?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- OpenRouter AI token usage: Sep 7–13
- Most popular AI this week
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Thinking Machines surpass Anthropic in revenue before 2029??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 95% (Stand: 12. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Thinking Machines surpass Anthropic in revenue before 2029? entschieden?
- Will Thinking Machines surpass Anthropic in revenue before 2029? soll am 31. Dezember 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Thinking Machines surpass Anthropic in revenue before 2029? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: ARR, at any point before 2029.