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Daten vom 08.09.2026, 12:53 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 57.5%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 19 Stunden
Veraltet10. Juli 23, 03:56 UTC31. Dez. 00, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will a gay couple give birth to an equally-genetically-related child before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Fanzor be used to genetically edit the cells of *any human* by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketAI solves Millennium Prize Problem in September 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiRegeln
In a literal sense
Offene Märkte
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+11.2pt86%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029-33.9pt55%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 227.421,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 95.250,8 €
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202813%
- Before 2027+0.4pt5%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 28,6 Mio. €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30-0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
- Before 2030-19.0pt44%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 109.068,9 €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+0.6pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 7970,9 €
KALSHIHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Above 0+3.0pt46.1%
- Above 1+20.0pt38.5%
- Above 2-6.0pt7.7%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026?
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will there be genetically engineered catgirls by 2100??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 58% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will there be genetically engineered catgirls by 2100? entschieden?
- Will there be genetically engineered catgirls by 2100? soll am 31. Dezember 2100 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will there be genetically engineered catgirls by 2100? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: In a literal sense