Will there be a second shooting event related to the Bondi Beach mass shooting within one year?
One-OffKriminalität & JustizGesellschaft & Kultur1MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 97.5%
Prognostiker
10
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet14. Dez. 25, 11:41 UTC14. Dez. 26, 11:38 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will there be a mass shooting in the US more deadly than the 2017 Las Vegas shooting before 2030?
Manifold MarketsDid either of the Bondi shooters ever attend a pro-Palestine protest?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the government response to the Bondi shooting?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a terrorist attack, shooting, or another mass casualty incident at a gaming event in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the National Guard kill at least 10 protestors by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsDid Donald Trump have gay sex?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
On the 14th of December 2025, a terrorist mass shooting was carried out by two men at Bondi Beach in Sydney, Australia, targeting a Jewish community during a large Hannukah celebration
- This is the largest mass shooting in Australia since the Port Arthur massacre almost 30 years ago, with 16 dead at the time of writing
- I'll define a shooting event as one in which shots are fired at people, though not requiring deaths or injuries
- If a shooting event occurs, resolution (re: whether it's related to the Bondi Beach shooting) will be based on official police statements
- I won't bet on this question in case resolution is ambiguous
- Related markets:
