Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 88.2%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Veraltet8. Apr. 23, 03:06 UTC2. Jan. 30, 02:59 UTC
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There needs to be direct armed conflict, so stuff like cold war or proxy wars in general don't count.
- US providing weapons to Ukraine (or any other country) but not operating them through its military also doesn't count.
- In case of doubt, I'll ask random people within my social circle (not Russians, Americans and not Manifold users) whether the US is at war with Russia.
