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Aktualisiert vor 19 Minuten
7. März 26, 15:58 UTC31. Juli 29, 10:59 UTC
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Will a 250-foot triumphal arch be built across from the Lincoln Memorial before Trump leaves office?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade any territory of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?
Manifold MarketsTrump leaves office over Epstein files?
Manifold MarketsWho else will be indicted by the federal government before Trump leaves office? [ADD ANSWERS]
Manifold MarketsWill the US officially declare war on Iran by which date?
PolymarketUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRegeln
At war includes:
- US troops on the ground in Iran
- Ongoing strikes by either side
- Strait of Hormuz closed to most traffic, and US Naval forces in the area
- Routine US overflights or Iran, such as an enforced no-fly zone
- This is based on the status at the time Trump leaves office, not before; if the war pauses and then resumes and is ongoing when Trump leaves, this will resolve Yes, pause notwithstanding.
