Will a 250-foot triumphal arch be built across from the Lincoln Memorial before Trump leaves office?
US PoliticsOne-Off2JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 79.4%
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Veraltet10. Apr. 26, 18:42 UTC21. Jan. 29, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsWill construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?
KalshiPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve YES if:
- A triumphal arch is built off one end of the Arlington Bridge, across from the Lincoln Memorial in Washington, D.C
- The arch is similar to the plans discussed in this article (i.e. around 250 feet in height, similar in design -- plans linked here).
- I reserve the right to exercise my discretion in determining whether the final arch is sufficiently similar to this plan.
- Construction is completed by noon on January 20th, 2029, when Trump leaves office.
- It will resolve NO otherwise, including if an arch is built but its design/size are completely different, it is in a substantially different location, or construction has commenced but is not completed.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will a 250-foot triumphal arch be built across from the Lincoln Memorial before Trump leaves office??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 79% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will a 250-foot triumphal arch be built across from the Lincoln Memorial before Trump leaves office? entschieden?
- Will a 250-foot triumphal arch be built across from the Lincoln Memorial before Trump leaves office? soll am 21. Januar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will a 250-foot triumphal arch be built across from the Lincoln Memorial before Trump leaves office? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve YES if: